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In Stuttgart erschoss ein Polizist einen 29-jรคhrigen Algerier. Offenbar war der Mann auf der Flucht โ ein Szenario, in dem der Schusswaffengebrauch unzulรคssig wรคre. nd-aktuell.de/artikel/1192413.โฆ
I have so many things I want to do but just can't. Play a video game, read a book, take dog for walk, build a gadget I bought parts for, finish writing a song, finish building a computer... But no, I just sit there stuck. How do I get unstuck?
Imake a list and number them and then go on random.org and have it choose an integer and then i do the the thing on the list that matches the number randomly chosen.
This way iโm not making a decision, the lord of chaos is.
No it's really that the result feels like a decision imposed on me and my brain can't deal with that... It's the same if I start to do something I want, then someone calls to tell me to do it and now I can't do it anymore. Not sure if it's PDA or something else, but it's really annoying, especially in combination with AuDHD.
Challenges usually get the opposite reaction than demands for me, I can't even count all the stuff I've done because of it. Maybe self (not-)imposed challenges would work? I'll need to give it a try. Though challenges also have their problems, like picking the most stupid or pointless ideas because I was advised not to do it. I think there's a correlation between how stupid and pointless an idea is and how quickly my brain latches onto in ๐
Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke by videoconference at the 17th BRICS summit, launched in Rio de Janeiro this Sunday, addressing hard critics on the
Extract of Letter from US Rep Anna V. Eskamani, PhD (FLA-47), Jul 7, 2025
๏ปฟโLast week, four of my fellow state lawmakers and I traveled deep into the Everglades to visit Floridaโs newest immigrant detention camp, a remote, mosquito-infested facility now being called by the State of Florida โAlligator Alcatrazโ.
โDespite our statutory authority and duty to conduct oversight visits of state detention centers, we were denied access. 1/4
Extract of Letter from US Rep Anna V. Eskamani, PhD (FLA-47), Jul 7, 2025
[#Florida : Call to Action] โWe are demanding answers, filing records requests, and sounding the alarm. But we need your voice, too.
โConsider signing this petition demanding that the Florida Department of Emergency Management focus on hurricane response, not detaining immigrants in harsh conditions and with no due process.โ
[Extract of Letter from US Rep Anna V. Eskamani, PhD (FLA-47), Jul 7, 2025]
โWe donโt even know who is paying for this facility โ the state or the feds โbut we do know that itโs expected to cost the public more than $450 million. And the contracts? Awarded in the dark, with no transparency, to DeSantis-connected donors.โฆ 3/4 #Florida #AlligatorAlcatraz #ICE #DeSantis #Gop #Trump
In the course of a collaboration with the University of Baghdad, LMU's Enrique Jimรฉnez has rediscovered a text that had been lost for a thousand years. A paper on this discovery is published in the journal Iraq.
From packing an emergency kit to navigating FEMA aid to finding legal services and mental health resources, this is a comprehensive guide to surviving and coping with natural disasters.
A pediatrician has been fired over a vile post suggesting that the more than 80 killed in the horrific Texas floods โ including dozens of kids โ were Trump supporters who got โwhat they voted for.โ
Dr. Christina B. Propst drew widespread scorn following the disparaging, since-deleted post under her old Facebook username, Chris Tina, according to Mediaite.
โMay all visitors, children, non-MAGA voters and pets be safe and dry,โ Probst wrote in the now-viral post.
Heard chanting and marching while doing yardwork, zipped over to check it out, andโฆ
โฆlo and behold! an emergency protest in favor of immigrants rights, organized by miracmn.com in response to the SCOTUS threatening birthright citizenship.
Despite the apparent short notice, folks brought their game. Got a couple of photos (with permission). The guillotine actually moves up and down while the rider pedals!
Now Iโm on MIRACโs mailing list, so hopefully I donโt miss the next one.
Also, thoughโฆit is just deeply heartening to randomly encounter a protest: not a thing that I already knew about, but a thing that just โขshowed upโข in my neighborhood. It makes me feel like the circle of resistance is much bigger than my own little circle. And it is.
Thatโs the feeling I want us to create: โWow, these protests are everywhere.โ
Things like this are not just a symbolic expression of discontent.
Fascism depends to a โขveryโข large extent on anticipatory compliance. It needs people to feel like things are going that way, itโs already a done deal, better to just go along with it.
Every time dissent is visible, every way dissent feels ubiquitous, every time somebody feels like theyโre not alone in opposition, every time somebody whoโs tempted to comply fears there might be hell to pay if they do โ that directly, concretely damages the fascistsโ power.
I hear you! I also want to help these small protests find each other, merge, and grow stronger in numbers. People need to be see themselves, understand how many of us there are. We need millions in the streets, we need momentum, we need everyone to understand that the large majority of the country is disgusted by this unamerican bullshit.
Maya Khadra: Liban: Sรฉrie de bombardements israรฉliens touchant le sud et la vallรฉe de la Bรฉkaa. Lโintensitรฉ des frappes dโaujourdโhui รฉgale la force des bombardements pendant la guerre. Cโest une rรฉponse ร lโentรชtement du Hezbollah qui refuse le dรฉsarmement et qui risque dโentraรฎner le Liban encore une fois dans une guerre que les Libanais nโont pas choisie. En effet, la proposition de lโenvoyรฉ US spรฉcial Tom Barrack de dรฉsarmer le Hezb nโa pas eu de rรฉponse officielle libanaise. La milice, quant ร elle, a refusรฉ catรฉgoriquement le dรฉsarmement. Encore un รฉchec pour le Prรฉsident de la Rรฉpublique et le Premier ministre. x.com/mayakhadra/status/194196โฆ
#Haaretz is adding that #IDF arrested this morning (Monday) the chief editor of the Palestinian news agency Ma'an. Al-Laham is also the manager of the West Bank offices of the Lebanese channel Al-Mayadeen, which is affiliated with Hezbollah. According to Maan, last night IDF forces arrested him at his home in the village of al-Doha in the Bethlehem area, and during the arrest the forces caused destruction in his house. It was also reported that al-Laham is expected to be brought to the Ofer court this coming Thursday for a hearing on extending his detention. The IDF has not yet provided a response on the matter.
One of the reporters of this item is Jack Khoury. AFAIK, he was one of the first Israeli journalists working in mainstream media to publish evidence of the genocide in Gaza on his social media account.
[December 2023] "The video now circulating from northern Gaza. Journalist Anas Sharif is releasing documentation from the Jabalia refugee camp. In the background, a boy can be seen carrying out the body of a girl in pouring rain. In Jabalia, they report finding 15 bodies in a state of decay inside a school. According to the Gaza Health Ministry, the death toll has risen to 18,608 killed and more than 50,000 wounded since the start of the war."
TEHRAN, Jul. 06 (MNA) โ The BRICS group condemned the attacks by the Israeli regime and the United States on Iran in a statement issued during its summit in Brazil on Sunday.
Asmongold Clips / Asmongold Reacts To: it's ovahOn this Asmongold Clips Youtube Channel you'll never quit finding all the funny Asmongold Moments with Mcconn...
A new report by Allianz Research warns that this summerโs extreme heat could cut Europeโs GDP by up to 0.5 percentage points in 2025, likening a single day over 32ยฐC to "half a day of national strikes."
Heatwaves and climate change are projected to inflict severe damage on both global and national economies, with Germany facing potential losses of up to โฌ1 trillion by 2050.
The economic toll is uneven across regions. Spain is expected to suffer the most, with projected losses reaching 1.4%, while Germanyโs economy may shrink by just 0.1%. Italy, Greece, France, and China could each face declines nearing 1%. In the United States, heat waves are projected to reduce economic output by 0.6%.
HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins have expressed interest in letting H5N1 outbreaks spread unchecked through U.S. poultry farms. Health experts warn it could lead to a new pandemic.
Massive volumes of gold are being moved from Western countries, to vaults outside the SWIFT system and Western regulation.Even for the world's top gold minin...
Crazy how the Democrats, who โare the sameโ as Republicans, all voted against gutting healthcare and creating a police state, while all but 3 Republicans voted for it. One of these things is not like the other.
The biggest problem with the Democratic establishment is while they will block the most insane shit possible. They also enable the most insane shit possible.
People are done and tired of centrism, which normalizes economic policies that damage Americans. Embrace of neoliberalism by democratic centric is their chief problem.
@GhostOnTheHalfShell@masto.ai @mcnado recently saw this stated as "they think their job is to meditate between the oppressors and the oppressed"
I think that hits the nail on the head, and certainly explains all the half measures.
@GhostOnTheHalfShell really it doesnโt begin to explain who this โestablishmentโ is. And the typo is just plain distracting. Pointing an accusing finger at โthemโ doesnโt provide any way to measure or act on the outrage you profess.
@aardvark I donโt know how old you are, but if youโve been around for a couple of decades, youโll notice that the political leadership which sticks around for an extraordinary long time our individuals that sit a top a donation network as well as a patronage network. The patronage network consist of businesses who work in politics with consultants that then the other thing..
@aardvark And occasionally, youโll be privy to news which reveals that these businesses and individuals who work and politics are under a very tight leash. If they cross somebody like a Pelosi or the equivalent on the Republican side and choose you know first amendment choose to support a progressive, and Nancy doesnโt like it, they wonโt have any work anymore.
And the leadership of why the party just happens to have a remarkable amount of investment in the stock market.
@aardvark This generally means that their investment interest now align with business. And while the Democrats can also be very pro-labor, they walk fairly thin line and largely on the side of business rather than unabashedly working for the interest of the the public in general, especially people who work for wages.
@GhostOnTheHalfShell @aardvark The characterization of those saying they are the same is misleading and falls into the trap of one side good, one bad, when they're both shit but to different degrees. Harris wouldn't have fucked things up so badly for sure but it is ALSO clear that Dems have failed SO horribly in being responsive to people and planet that they lose to a nazi asshole like Trump. WE NEED BETTER--but at this point?
Itโs amazing how this thread filled up with โbut Democrats wonโt immediately give me <insert policy here> and I want it now!โ
To those critics, I offer another thought: if you sit on the sidelines, never voting until a candidate offers you everything on your wishlist, you will never get closer to your ideals. Because you knew that Trump would actually move us AWAY FROM whatever it is you wanted.
At least we donโt have anybody here pretending Harris would have been doing the same things Trump is doing. Because I have LITERALLY seen that nonsense on Fedi. Iโm not sure how detached from reality one must be to not see the differences between a year ago and today.
@mls14 But she still LOST to that felon nazi...THAT requires serious consideration. The fact the DNC has also viciously gone after actual progressive candidates to primary shits like Cuellars, etc. underscores the failure of the corporate, neoliberal philosophy of the Dem party.
If you look at old silent movies, they were played at different speeds in different cinemas and projections. There wasn't a standard way to play a movie, no "you NEED to play the movie at this specific speed or it will be ruined". I'm not saying the same should apply to modern movies, but I find it interesting.
Become a Premium Member: https://www.jimmydore.com/premium-membershipGo to a Live Show: https://www.jimmydore.com/tour Subscribe to Our Newsletter: https://m...
Ein Zeitraffervideo aus Texas schockiert: Innerhalb von nur zehn Minuten zeigt es das fatale Tempo der Sturzflut, die รผber 80 Menschen das Leben kostete โ darunter viele Kinder. Naturgewalt in voller Wucht. ๐๐ข #Texas #Flut #Naturkatastrophe #newz
Dutzende Menschen kommen am Wochenende ums Leben, als in Texas binnen kรผrzester Zeit riesige Mengen Regen niedergehen und eine Sturzflut auslรถsen. Ein neu verรถffentlichtes Zeitraffervideo macht das beรคngstigend rasante Tempo der Flut deutlich.
There's an AUR open-tv package for Arch/Artix/..., and there's even an AUR open-tv-bin version, but I prefer looking at the build recipes if available, and if not using Arch/Artix/... one can read through the PKGBUILD and see how it builds.
Anarchism is founded on the observation that since few men are wise enough to rule themselves, even fewer are wise enough to rule others. -- Edward Abbey
Die Gohrischheide brennt seit Tagen: รber 2.100 Hektar Wald sind zerstรถrt โ mehr als im ganzen Jahr sonst in Deutschland. Einsatzkrรคfte kรคmpfen unter extremen Bedingungen mit gepanzerter Technik, Lรถschrobotern & Hubschraubern gegen die Flammen auf ehemaligem Truppenรผbungsplatz. #Gohrischheide #Waldbrand #Feuerwehr ๐ฅ๐๐ฒ Mehr Infos: n-tv.de/mediathek/videos/panorโฆ #newz
Nach den anhaltenden und schwer einzudรคmmenden Waldbrรคnden ist die sรคchsische Gohrischheide nahezu vollstรคndig abgebrannt. Selbst die Bundeswehr hilft bei der Bekรคmpfung des Feuers. Auch in Thรผringen kann noch keine Entwarnung gegeben werden.
By Marรญa Paรฉz Victorย -ย Apr 18, 2022[Editor's note: Although this article is over three years old, Orinoco Tribune publishes it because it considers it to be as relevant now as it was at the time of its publication.
Free societies survive on the level of integrity in the dissent. Not dissent for dissents sake along a party politic but rather dissent thought through and given in good faith.
hey, if you're an American living in the USA, one little thing you can do is help make it absolutely socially unacceptable to work for ICE. what does this look like? say it to your friends and family. bring it up casually. post about it. make it an issue in your neighborhood if one of your neighbors gets a job with ICE or DHS. ostracize and exclude. you don't have to be rude, just make sure people know it's an ethical/moral choice you don't accept.
So touching--the 6 Supine Court bigots preserve parents' "right" to deny their children a full education in order to misinform and lie to them. So respectable.
Ways I know gas is too cheap: parked between two vehicles sitting there idling, one with a driver (with the AC on and the windows open(!)), one without.
Went into the store, came out, both still idling.
This is one of those things that electric cars would really help with.
It is worth noting that this is technically illegal in Massachusetts, but basically never enforced. (You get five minutes of idling, less if you're a big truck or someone complains or you're near an air intake.)
When I lived in the Boston area I felt like it was extremely common to see people parked on the road idling with the AC or heat on. I always assumed these were people like real estate agents who were waiting on someone. Still, lots of needless waste that might not be happening if people were more attentive.
A new series of studies finds that people who doubt they're respected or admired by others are less likely to acknowledge other people's contributions. But sharing credit actually tends to boost one's status, which means these people's competitiveness just makes their status insecurity worse: business.columbia.edu/researchโฆ
Genuine Question. Even if I look at hungarian Transport, and they to this day use trains from the UdSSR, they come more consistantly then the DB.
They are really Bad sometimes, with like 20 seperate prices: Theres the bayernwald ticket that only works in the alps, then theres the official ticket to the destination. Theres a special offer, but only in the very special APP. You can use a d-ticket, but look! Some random ass slum in the middle of the worlds ass dosent accept that, but it does the MVV zone Tickets. But then you need the MVV zone 11-M, a ticket to the beginning to the Nรผrnberg zones, and a ticket for the Nรผrnberg zones.
And yet this shit is better than americas rails? How?
Am I in the minority, thinking that the London Underground is actually pretty amazing? Wherever I was across the huge area the city takes up, I rarely needed to check a timetable- There would be a station within walking distance, I could be relatively confident that a train would turn up within fifteen minutes and get me to basically anywhere in London in fairly short order.
Don't even need an Opal card- just tap your phone or your bank card.
The network is also massive. You can tap on in Kiama and tap off in Scone. That's about 400km, roughly equivalent to Berlin to Frankfurt, on regular metro trains. Might take a while, but you can do it.
Kiev regime is intensifying its terrorist maneuvers against Russian territory. Join us on Telegram,ย Twitter, and VK. Contact us: info@strategic-culture.su The escalation of Ukrainian attacks onโฆ
Haaretz recounts what Prof Jean-Pierre Filiu found when he got into Gaza and why Israel wonโt allow western journalists in Israeli newspaper Haaretz has carried testimony from a French historโฆ
Hรถcke liest Sellner: โHarmloserโ als Merz journalistenwatch.com/2025/07/โฆ Ich spreche mit jedem und hรถre mir alle Argumente an. Das gilt besonders, wenn ein Begriff die รถffentliche Debatte so maรgeblich bestimmt hat, wie aktuell der Titel dieses Buches: ยปRemigrationยซ. Von Bjรถrn Hรถcke auf Telegram Die Idee steht im Raum โ und ist so wichtig, daร bei der Urteilsbegrรผndung zur Aufhebung des Compact-Verbots ausdrรผcklich darauf [โฆ] #news #press
"Jurnalul de realitate" poate fi un instrument puternic รฎn procesul de refacere a percepศiei dupฤ o experienศฤ cu un narcisist. ๐โจ
Dupฤ ce ai trecut prin manipulare narcisistฤ, mintea poate fi plinฤ de confuzie ศi รฎndoieli despre ce este real ศi ce nu. Scrisul รฎntr-un jurnal te ajutฤ sฤ-ศi ancorezi gรขndurile รฎn realitate, sฤ-ศi observi sentimentele ศi sฤ discerni รฎntre faptele obiective ศi distorsiunile create de abuz.
Acest proces sprijinฤ consolidarea propriei identitฤศi ศi recapฤtฤ รฎncrederea รฎn propria judecatฤ. Este un spaศiu sigur unde รฎศi poศi procesa experienศele fฤrฤ teama de a fi criticat sau invalidat.
Dacฤ te lupศi cu efectele unui narcisist, รฎncearcฤ sฤ ศii un "jurnal de realitate" zilnic โ noteazฤ ce s-a รฎntรขmplat, cum te-ai simศit ศi ce รฎnveศi despre tine รฎn fiecare zi. Pas cu pas, รฎศi vei recฤpฤta perspectiva. ๐ช๐ฑ #NarcissisticAbuseRecovery #MentalHealth #SelfCare
Vzpomeลte na ty, kteลรญ pลinesli velkรฉ obฤti, aby svฤtlo svobody zcela nezhaslo. Svฤtlo, kterรฉ nesvรญtรญ pouze jednomu nรกrodu, ale je kolektivn...
#Palestine / DellaPergola, leading Israeli demographer, questions Gaza death toll study methodology
Prof. Sergio DellaPergola, a renowned demographer at Hebrew University and international authority on Jewish population statistics, critiques a study by Prof. Michael Spagat estimating around 91,400 deaths in Gaza.
[...] Regrettably, it is clear that the number of deaths in Gaza grows daily, and the results reported in the Spagat et. al survey, and in critiques of the survey, require revision. Nonetheless, it would have been better if, before publishing the figure of 100,000 deaths in Gaza, Haaretz had checked the facts, or at least added a question mark to the rounded figure.
DellaPergola, who is a specialist in demographic research, argues the research has significant methodological flaws despite being rejected by a medical journal but published independently.
Key concerns include non-random sampling, potential duplicate counting due to displaced families, and statistical inconsistencies. When the study's prisoner count estimates are compared to known figures, DellaPergola suggests the death toll may be closer to 34,000 - aligning with other systematic checks.
DellaPergola calls for more rigorous fact-checking before publishing casualty figures.
The article published by Haaretz on June 26, regarding Palestinian deaths in Gaza, reports on a pre-print study that had yet to be peer reviewed. Here are the issues with its methodology and how it can be revised
In summary: DellaPergola utterly embarrasses himself with this clown-level "critique" of the Gaza Mortality Survey. The arguments presented are without exception mumbo-jumbo, scientifically speaking. In essence, apart from a number of points where he is just flat out methodologically incorrect and fails to spot high school-level errors in his argument (such as plain failing to understand what the Guillot et al. study he tries to cite in his support actually did), he just points to potential sources of *uncertainty* and then assumes, with absolute zero evidence or compelling argument whatsoever, pulling numbers straight out of his arse, that all of these uncertainties must necessarily work in the direction of an overestimate of deaths, while systematically neglecting to discuss any of the sources of sampling bias that do, in fact, *necessarily* contribute to an *under*estimation (chiefly that completely destroyed households can no longer be sampled).
This piece is science-free, embarrassingly illiterate (both statistically and literally in terms of reading comprehension applied to other studies) piece of garbage. DellaPergola outs himself as someone utterly incapable of letting facts get in the way of his racist biases.
***
โThe first and most self-evident way to estimate the number of dead is by counting the bodies that arrive at morgues or are buried. Astoundingly, according to Gazan sources, this simple action was never performed.โ
FALSE. In the beginning, those were the ONLY deaths that were counted.
"Granted, some of the bodies are still buried under destroyed buildings. But even in the most horrific sanitary conditions, it's inconceivable that there are still tens of thousands of buried bodies 21 months after the fighting began."
FALSE. This ignores that Israel has systematically destroyed the heavy machinery necessary to recover them. The passing of time (under bombardment) does not help shifting tons of concrete by hand.
"And at least according to the IDF, residents were warned to evacuate their homes before heavy bombs were launched.โ
FFS. This is 100% propaganda. Israel randomly does this sometimes to provide its idiot apologists with the licence to claim this, but it is completely untrue that this is in any way consistently applied.
"The respondents (one person in each family) were asked about what has happened to their relatives since the war began.โ
FALSE. They were asked not about their "relatives", but about the members of their own pre-Oct 7 HOUSEHOLD. For someone attempting a critique of the study's methodology, it is beyond embarrassing to not even bother to represent it correctly. There is indeed an auxiliary question about deaths in the wider family, but that's not what the study's published results are based on.
"The relative completing the survey could report the deceased adult because he or she will think of the original family composition."
FALSE. Again, DellaPergola embarrassingly doesn't even understand how the study proceeded. Respondents were in fact *required* to respond in terms of their original household composition, rendering his whole line of critique moot.
Claim: A stopping rule of 10 households in each sampling unit creates a distortion.
FALSE. Stopping after a given number of interviews WITHIN in a random sampling unit does not by itself undermine โthe principle of randomness" at all, nor does selecting an arbitrary adult household member, *because any one of them would be responding with respect to the same household*. DellaPergola does not seem to understand how survey sampling works. The claim that households more likely to have been present and willing to respond are more likely to have experienced a violent death is pulled completely out of thin air, without even pretending to offer an empirical or a priori argument. One could just as easily argue that households with fewer adults (because some have been killed) are more likely to have the surviving adults away from home at a given time.
"A comparison of this sort (see the article by Michel Guillot and colleagues that was published in the Lancet in January 2025) identified 34,344 people who were killed (21,974 men and 12,370 women) between October 7, 2023 and August 31, 2024, based on detailed checks by the Health Ministry.โ
FALSE. DellaPergola is illiterate, or perhaps more likely, didn't bother to even read as much as the *abstract* of the Guillot et al. paper. What they actually said is that of the 45,936 reported total number of fatalities at the time, they found 64.4% on the refugee register, which, given that the share of refugees in the total population is 65.7%, CONFIRMS THE 45,936 as the refugee+non-refugee total. DellaPergola tries to claim that Guillot reduced the estimate down to the number of fatalities who were *also* refugees. This is a horrendously embarrassing mistake on his part.
"Of these, 75,200 were killed directly by wartime operations, while between 8,000 and 9,000 died from circumstances that aren't directly connected to the army's operations (and all this is on top of the 6,000 to 7,000 who die in an ordinary year)."
FALSE. The 8k-9k are about deaths not from fighting, but from not receiving medical aid for disease etc. The notion that such deaths e.g., from starvation, or because Israel systematically destroyed dialysis centres, โaren't directly connected to the [Israeli] army's operations" is obvious nonsense.
"In other words, the division and redefinition of households as a result of the state of emergency in Gaza may cause the same death to be reported two or three times.โ
FALSE. This is *at best* sloppy wording. For the same death to ACTUALLY be double-counted, two people from the same pre-Oct 7 household would have to be among the survey respondents in different households in the current sample. What he probably *meant* was that those deaths have a higher probability of being reported in the sample. This requires a lot of assumptions, such as that households with a death are more likely to have been split apart. Which under normal circumstances might sound like commonsense, because conditional on a violent death in the household, it was certainly exposed to violence that may have caused a split. But since in Gaza *all* households have been displaced, that argument doesn't work very well. Also, all else being equal, having lost an adult household member reduces the remaining size of the household and therefore the possibility for it to split.
The vastly more obvious source of NEGATIVE bias stemming from household structure is that the large number of households where *all* adult members have been killed are systematically excluded from the sample. But of course, DellaPergola doesn't want to talk about *that*.
"They also provide a contradictory figure from another source regarding the number of Gazan prisoners captured by Israel โ 3,436.โ
This represents the number of prisoners from Gaza at a single point in time (Source: jpost.com/israel-news/article-โฆ). DellaPergola seems to miss that what is at stake for comparison with the survey finding is the number imprisoned *at any time* during the survey fieldwork period. Moreover, the number he quotes refers only to โunlawful combatants' not *all* prisoners from Gaza, or detainees from Gaza who are held in military camps under conditions of enforced disappearance - unlike the survey question.
" Since the same ratio must also apply to the survey's estimate of deaths, the latter number should fall from 91,400 to 34,380."
FALSE. There is absolute no reason why the factor by which the number of prisoners is misestimated - never mind that he is completely wrong in quantifying that factor, see above - โmust' be the same as for deaths. For someone criticising the rigour of another study's methodology, โI'm going to take one of their numbers and multiply it with a fudge factor" is one hell of a suggestion for how to "improve" the studyโฆ
PCATI's criticism suggested that shutting down IDF detention facilities may have been temporary and they may have returned to heavy use once the military started a new campaign in Gaza in October.
To put the point about the Guillot paper in plain language:
DellaPergola central argument is: The one study (Guillot et al. 2025) that checked the Ministry of Health list of 46k fatalities (at the time) name by name could only confirm 34k of them, so I want to use that number as an anchor for the 'true' number that Spagat et al. failed to correctly replicate.
What Guillot et al. ACTUALLY found was: Roughly two-thirds of Gazans are UNRWA-registered refugees, and we could find around two-thirds of the official deaths, namely 34k, on the refugee register, which matches the population total and confirms that the total number of 46k is approximately correct.
Note that this is not buried deep inside the Guillot et al. paper. It's right there literally in the abstract, proving that DellaPergola is either blinded by bias, incompetent, or wilfully misrepresenting that study.
I saw that but to be fair DellaPegola sort of indicates it's a number verified against UNRWA's data ("including lists of refugees entitled to UN assistance"). This also BTW seem to support Hamas' own data..., contracting his claims their numbers can't be trusted.
But regardless, it's clear that DellaPergola doesn't engage with evidence in the Lancet studies documenting systematic under-reporting.
He draws the exact opposite conclusion from what Guillot et al. actually said, so we don't really have to be "fair" and give points for vaguely mentioning UNRWA data in an act of obfuscation.
@bifouba I would also comment on his reliance on #IDF evacuation warnings as a factor in reducing casualties (FFS, this is pure propaganda at this stage) is contradicted by the fact that we saw time and again that evacuated concentrated populations moved to targeted areas created higher casualty rates rather than lower ones, even before the GHF aid distribution death traps.
[...] They don't really talk to you about civilians that may come to your place. Like I was in the Netzarim road and they say, "If someone comes to here, it means that he knows he shouldn't be there and if he still comes, it means he's a terrorist." But I don't ... this is like what they tell you, but I don't really think it's true. They might be shot, they might be captured. really depends on like the day the mood of the commander...
Professor Michael Spagat responds to criticism of the Gaza Mortality Survey that estimated around 100,000 deaths. He addresses multiple errors in critic Sergio DellaPergolaโs analysis, clarifying that Gazaโs Health Ministry primarily uses hospital morgue data, not just family reports. Independent researchers have verified the ministryโs detailed casualty lists as reliable. Spagat explains the surveyโs systematic sampling methodology and notes that DellaPergola contradicted himself by first dismissing then later citing the same Health Ministry data. The survey found evidence of significant undercounting, with many deaths unrecorded due to strict documentation requirements and logistical challenges.
[โฆ] DellaPergola continues to critique our sampling procedures, which are described briefly in the body of the article and in more detail in its appendix. He writes that we explained that โonce a certain geographic counting cell reached ten households that agreed to participate, the count there was considered complete.โ But in practice the survey was conducted as follows: letโs assume that a randomly selected sampling point includes 100 households in tents. The tents are numbered from 1 to 100, and a random number is chosen from them, between 1 and 10. If the number chosen is 4, the interviewers will approach households 4, 14, 24, and so on until 94. If all tent residents agree to be interviewed, that sampling point is finished. If there are refusals โ which were rare โ the interviewing team will start over from a different random starting point. This is as random as it can be, and willingness to participate in the survey was not a significant factor in it.โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
DellaPergola's criticism was such worthless garbage with literally zero scientific merit that I'm surprised Spagat bothered responding. DellaPergola is scientifically incompetent and a fraud.
had to read it, to see what this grand critique [ referenced in ] was about...
XD ... is this a joke? it's a joke right? ... it's intentionally making a mockery of those who do that kind of thing, right? this is satire, right? ... right? ... i catch myself in a kind of lingering facepalm where i'm kinda pinching at my brow / third eye... the last example especially clinches is, making is surely a joke... right?
He turns the Wayland debate into politics. The presentation style is very ad hominem, e.g.:
and the "e.g." offered, is a screenshot of his post saying:
Alpine Linux says "No XLibre!" for Political Reasons
Alpine Linux says, "If anyone merges XLibre i will be pursuing a code of conduct violation against them. This is about politics, not just software."
he was quoting "Alpine Linux" (~ or a dev thereof, rather), who were the ones explicitly asserting it was about politics. ... if the quote's spurious fiction he contrived, then surely that's the angle to attack that at... not to try allude some ad hominem lurking between the lines if you look at it the right way, squinting, with your eyes half closed, upside down, in a mirror... hehehe.
... it's gotta be a joke. it fits as a joke. but it's hard to laugh at... because of the uncertainty... what if they're serious?! then it's not just some ugly-punch-down reductio-absurdist mockery-satire social-commentary humour at those who so lose their minds (... mercury poisoning maybe?), but then it's laughing directly at the tragedy, worsening the injury, triggering worse doubling down into the insane groupthink and poor-me energy drama, and the gestapo dystopian nightmares evoked to protect this perpetually provoked tender wound...
but surely not, right?
it's a joke right?
satirising in sympathy with lunduke, and lunduke just missed that, right?
... ... ... or was it serious?! O_O (pls no gestapo. !!!)
alright i'll try slap a poll on this too (polls do work on nerdpol.ch right?... not letting me add more than 2 options... looks iffy) ... not that anyone ever comes by here to see n vote...
Pero esta noticia no estรก mal puesta? Lo gordo es el caso nummaria y a quien le ha caรญdo la pena mรกs fuerte es al asesor fiscal que montรณ el tinglado para evadir impuestos. Para mรญ el titular deberรญa ser 80 aรฑos de cรกrcel por diseรฑar un sistema para evadir impuestos.
El tribunal impone 80 aรฑos de cรกrcel al asesor fiscal Fernando Peรฑa por desarrollar un sistema ilegal para defraudar a Hacienda a travรฉs de "un entramado de sociedades" en Espaรฑa y el extranjero
Top Russian Navy commander killed in Kursk Region โ MOD rt.com/russia/620933-top-nave-โฆ Major General Mikhail Gudkov reportedly died after a Ukrainian missile strike on a Marinesโ field HQ Read Full Article at RT.com #news #press
Gemini AI needs to be disabled on Android or it will override your privacy settings and gain full access to your texts, calls, and WhatsApp - even if youโve turned off Gemini Apps Activity.
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi has called on resistance groups across the West Asia region to stand firm against aggressive actions by Israel and the United States.
teft
in reply to ScoffingLizard • • •Imake a list and number them and then go on random.org and have it choose an integer and then i do the the thing on the list that matches the number randomly chosen.
This way iโm not making a decision, the lord of chaos is.
phantomwise
in reply to teft • • •Tried it, not a great success... The only result is making me not want whatever was chosen anymore.
My brain has this awful tendency of going "I could have done it a minute ago but now that someone else told me to I can't anymore"
teft
in reply to phantomwise • • •phantomwise
in reply to teft • • •subtype of autism
Contributors to Wikimedia projects (Wikimedia Foundation, Inc.)zmrl
in reply to phantomwise • • •Was just about to suggest it might be PDA. I have a bit of that and it is rather annoying. Some techniques ive used go combat this:
Neither are perfect but they do help sometimes.
phantomwise
in reply to zmrl • • •Nice suggestions, thanks!
Challenges usually get the opposite reaction than demands for me, I can't even count all the stuff I've done because of it. Maybe self (not-)imposed challenges would work? I'll need to give it a try. Though challenges also have their problems, like picking the most stupid or pointless ideas because I was advised not to do it. I think there's a correlation between how stupid and pointless an idea is and how quickly my brain latches onto in ๐