In the next weeks I anticipate we will hear a lot about Iran's ~400 kg of 60% enriched uranium, which they will probably refer to using the more scary phrase "Highly Enriched Uranium" or HEU.
They will talk about how it is "out of control," which means the IAEA doesn't have tracking of it.
This COULD be enriched to weapons-grade, and used for a bomb, IF they have an enrichment facility to do it in. That's a very very VERY big if. There's a very high chance their only three facilities were just destroyed.
I think the odds of having a secret facility outside the knowledge of the international community is low. Not only are they hard to hide, but they're almost impossible to build without raising flags. As it turns out, a lot of centrifuges require very specialized equipment and parts. You can't build a nuclear facility in secret very easily.
This is RIPE for fear mongering. I'm not a non-proliferation expert but I'll do my best to keep folks informed, as well as boost any voices or sources I find on the matter. As always happy to field questions.
![® late.july & 1d oe
LA gangs are escorting immigrants and keeping ICE
spooked, civilians are pelting agents with glitter, and the
National Guard and Marines are standing around
questioning their life choices like an absurdly expensive,
wildly passive-aggressive middle finger just for
@CAGovernor Newsom.
You honestly couldn't script this season of California.
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LA gangs are escorting immigrants and keeping ICE
spooked, civilians are pelting agents with glitter, and the
National Guard and Marines are standing around
questioning their life choices like an absurdly expensive,
wildly passive-aggressive middle finger just for
@CAGovernor Newsom.
You honestly couldn't script this season of California.
Qoek (Q257 (C)739 V7 200
® late.july & 1d - Author oe
themirror.com/news...
a | BR ee. ¥. ]
l- ~ \ 3 i
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[Sm ru i ' pi ~ Vv Now — py Y
Ge J POLICE - - Ya \ L 3 |
ll 1 = A\" i
at 1 AR
Ee FY \ ut N
8 themirror.com
Fears of turf war between LA gangs and ICE
agents who 'worry for their safety’
Qs Qi Pe V4
0 8 threads.com/@late.july/post/DLL :")
Jessica Rooster
in reply to Jessica Rooster • • •This is all an estimate. Because as it turns out Trump pulled us out of the JCPOA like a goddamn idiot, so all of the JCPOA-related surveillance was removed.
What a fucking ugh. fuck.
Sam Levine
in reply to Jessica Rooster • • •I was also under the impression (not a nuclear expert, do know something about centrifuges from working with a variety of them) that getting from 60% to weapons grade is very difficult. The closer you get to the higher grade the more difficult/time+power consuming the process becomes to enrich for the desired isotopes.
And per your centrifuges comment: I've tried to mimic 2-4 h in a 200,000xg centrifuge by running a 20,000xg for 48 hours and it was just starting to get to what I wanted? Trying to use off the shelf/not the right stuff for this would probably make it totally impractical.
Simon
in reply to Jessica Rooster • • •rickf
in reply to Jessica Rooster • • •They will embrace W-Cheney's so-called 'One Percent Doctrine' heading into Iraq II ... namely, that if there's a 1 percent chance of something bad happening, it's reason enough for committing the country to stopping/defending it.
Fearmongering fringe probabilities makes it all the easier to do.