Betting against worst-case climate scenarios is risky business - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists thebulletin.org/2023/09/bettin…

Would you live in a building, cross a bridge, or trust a dam wall if there were a 10 percent chance of it collapsing? Or five percent? Or one percent? Of course not! In civil engineering, acceptable probabilities of failure generally range from one-in-10,000 to one-in-10-million.

So why, when it comes to climate action, are policies like carbon budgets accepted when they have success rates of just 50 to 66 percent? That’s hardly better than a coin toss.

Tags: #dandelíon #environment #climate #collapse