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Lars Marius Garshol (en)
Lars Marius Garshol (en)

Lars Marius Garshol (en)

larsga@snabelen.no

Lars Marius Garshol (en)

larsga@snabelen.no
Norwegian researcher of farmhouse brewing. Author and speaker.
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2024-11-07 08:43:38 2024-11-07 07:47:53 2024-11-07 07:47:43 15779990

Lars Marius Garshol (en)
Lars Marius Garshol (en)
mastodon - Link to source

Lars Marius Garshol (en)

1 year ago • •

Lars Marius Garshol (en)

1 year ago • •


Did Harris lose because she’s a black woman, or her campaign wasn’t good enough? Well, Biden was consistently behind in polls from Sep 2023 onwards. And this is the same polls that underestimated Trump. Which means that, in reality, Biden was never in a position to win.
Graph, average of all polls, 2023-01 to 2024-07. Biden is 0-2% ahead until 2023-09, then consistently behind after that.
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in reply to Lars Marius Garshol (en)

Lars Marius Garshol (en)
mastodon - Link to source

Lars Marius Garshol (en)

in reply to Lars Marius Garshol (en) • 1 year ago • •

When Harris took over, the Democrats’ chances of winning increased dramatically. Not enough to actually win, but certainly she did far better than him.

The reality is that Americans knew who Trump was, and they consistently preferred him

Graph showing probability of Democratic candidate winning (whether Biden or Harris), 2024-06 until election. Hovers at 35-30% until Biden withdraws, surges to 65% in mid-September, then falls back to 50% on election day
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in reply to Lars Marius Garshol (en)

Nanook
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Nanook

in reply to Lars Marius Garshol (en) • 1 year ago •
With me in part she lost because she said she was a black woman but has NO black in her, in SHORT SHE IS A LIAR. The hardest thing it would seem to be to obtain in government is TRUTH, and whatever else you can say about TRUMP he says what he means.
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